Prediction Accuracy | Trader Lab

Next-close audit

Checks whether each predicted mover finished higher at the next completed close.

The tracker snapshots Morning Movers reports, waits for the next market close, then compares estimated performance with actual close-to-close movement.

Hit rate -

Evaluated -

Pending -

Average actual -

Recent predictions

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Next close

How it is scored

A prediction is counted as correct when the stock's next completed close is above the close used by the prediction.

Prediction Each Morning Movers recommendation is stored by date, market, and ticker.

Outcome Actual return is measured from prediction close to next completed close.

Hit rate Correct predictions divided by evaluated predictions.

Error Actual return minus estimated return, shown in percentage points.